ORLANDO, Fla. — The National Hurricane Center continued Monday to keep track of systems in the Caribbean and Atlantic with chances to form into the season’s next tropical depression or storm. The NHC dropped chances that a third system in the Gulf, though, could develop any further.
As of the NHC’s 2 p.m. tropical update, a tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean was producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
“Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development when the system reaches the western Caribbean Sea and southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this week and over the weekend, and a tropical depression could form during that time,” forecasters said.
The NHC gave it a 40% chance to develop in the next seven days.
In the eastern tropical Atlantic was a second tropical wave that was producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
“Environmental conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form in a few days while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean,” forecasters said. “This system could produce areas of heavy rain and gusty winds across portions of the Cape Verde Islands in a day or two.”
The NHC gave it a 10% chance to develop in the next two days and 40% in the next seven.
The NHC dropped to 0% chance that a system off the coast of Texas in the Gulf of Mexico could develop.
The broad and weak area of low pressure just offshore of the middle Texas coast continued to produce some disorganized shower activity along portions of the coast of Texas and over the adjacent waters of the northwestern Gulf of Mexico.
“This system is expected to move inland early Tuesday, and development is not expected. Regardless, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of the Texas coast during the next day or two,” forecasters said.
Hurricane season runs from June 1-Nov. 30, but the height of hurricane season runs from mid-August into October.
So far the season has produced five named storms with Francine next on the list.