CNN’s enthusiastic Senior Data Reporter Harry Enten said Friday that the presidential contest is historically tight and that the slightest shift in momentum could alter the outcome. Moreover, he added, if Donald Trump outperforms current polling by a mere point—which is certainly possible, if not likely, given recent presidential elections—he’ll be strolling into the Oval Office in January 2025.
Polls in 2016 and 2020 consistently—and famously—underestimated Trump’s support.
Enten pointed out that no race has been this tight in decades, a fact which has to be giving cause for the former president to smile while drawing mournful frowns from Team Kamala.
“We‘re talking about the closest campaign in a generation where a single point could make all the difference in the world,” Enten told CNN anchor John Berman on Friday.
The reporter began by stating that no presidential race has been this close in 60 years. According to national polling averages taken from 1964 to 2020, each election featured at least a three-week period where one candidate was polling five points better than the other.
So far in this campaign, that three-week lead has yet to materialize.
“How many days have we had this campaign, where one candidate was ahead by at least five points nationally? Look at this. Zero days, zero days. The fact is, this race has been consistently tight in a way that we have never seen before, Mr. Berman,” Enten said.
Watch:
This is the closest presidential campaign 60+ years. The race has been consistently close in a way I’ve never seen. If the polling is off by a single point in the key swing states, the winner would flip.
The bottom line is this election is up for grabs with 2 months to go. pic.twitter.com/vmZH3PIVxR
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 6, 2024
I’m just saying, if I were a friend of Harry Enten, I might be telling him to polish his resume and get ready to search for jobs on LinkedIn, because he’s been dropping reality bombs regularly as of late—and that can’t be making the leftist cabal at CNN happy.
Related: MUST WATCH: CNN’s Harry Enten Brings a Little Reality to Those Poll Numbers
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Enten pointed out that if the final results perfectly matched today’s polling, Harris would win. But that’s not the whole story.
However, when Enten simulated what would happen if Trump outperformed current polling by “one percentage point,” it revealed the former president winning.
“Look at this. If Trump outperforms his current polls by just a single point, you take that Kamala Harris win and – look at this – Donald Trump gets 287 electoral votes,” he said, comparing it to Harris’ 251 votes in this scenario.
“John, this is a truly exciting race right now, where any slight movement can make all the difference,” he concluded.
In other words, the polling has dramatically underestimated Trump’s support in the past, and if that’s the case here, it’s game, set, and match; the gig will be up, and the “lady affected by obesity” will sing a beautiful song.
Polls are just polls, and there’s only one that matters, which will occur on November 5, but if you’re a Republican, you can’t help but be buoyed by these numbers—especially since the mainstream media keeps delivering its daily dose of “Kamala is just so incredibly popular!” fake news.
