There’s a lot of polling data floating around out there that looks very encouraging for GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump in terms of who has the most momentum heading into Election Day, who seems to be connecting best with the voters they need to, whose ground game appears to have the edge, etc.
Understandably, conservatives are very wary of being given too much in the way of good news in one direction after the “Red Wave” of 2022 that never really materialized. There’s a real concern out there of a repeat of that in 2024, where GOP voters excitedly tune in for election results on Election Night only to come away discouraged and disgusted.
One good way to confirm polling information is not “too good to be true” is to track trends over time, in particular, voting patterns over a few election cycles (including primaries) that consistently show changes in how a particular voting bloc, state, what have you, has been voting.
On the issue of black and Hispanic voters, the former president has been eating into the Democrats’ dominance with those groups since his first run in 2016. It’s something that continued into 2020 and beyond despite Trump not being declared the winner.
SEE ALSO: Hispanic Voters Deliver the Devastating News Democrats Have Been Dreading
And, to Vice President Kamala Harris’ great consternation, it’s still happening, so much so that she’s having to fight for voters Democrats have taken for granted for decades, voters who for various reasons have decided the Democrat Party is not the place for them anymore.
New information released this week on black and Hispanic voters will give the Harris campaign even more nightmares as we close in on November 5th, and for good reasons:
New poll: Trump is getting record levels of support among young Black and Latino men https://t.co/mrA3nzEA0Z
— POLITICO (@politico) October 23, 2024
I guess this means the smear campaigns painting Trump as a “fascist” and “Hitler” aren’t working. Who’da thought?
Strange voting patterns for Hitler. https://t.co/S4uPChYQo0
— Glenn Greenwald (@ggreenwald) October 24, 2024
Here’s more on the data:
A new poll that includes large oversamples of young voters of color shows Donald Trump has massively increased his support among groups that he previously performed poorly with in 2020.
The GenForward survey, which ran from Sept. 26 to Oct. 6 by the University of Chicago and included 2,359 eligible voters 18 to 40 years old, included some fascinating findings:
- A quarter of young Black men are supporting Trump. (Black men overall backed President Joe Biden nearly nine to one in 2020.)
- 44 percent of young Latino men said they’d back Trump, an improvement over the roughly 38 percent who backed him in 2020.
It goes without saying that if these trends hold, it could spell absolute disaster for her on Election Day. I mean how embarrassing would it be for Democrats to lose the presidency in part to the minority groups, who they’ve lied to for so many election cycles regarding what Republicans will allegedly do to them if they come into power?
I’m sorry but the fact that Trump may not only win but that support from Hispanics, Blacks and Arabs may conceivably be what tips the balance in the end is objectively hilarious and nothing you can say to me will change my mind about this. https://t.co/D2lkZ1Paua
— Philippe Lemoine (@phl43) October 23, 2024
Wouldn’t that be a sight to behold?
RELATED:Troubling Pattern Emerges for Kamala Harris As Veteran Journo Notes ‘Serious Danger’ for Nevada Campaign
