Is Kamala Harris having second thoughts about picking Tim Walz as her running mate? If she isn’t, she probably should be.
A new poll out of Pennsylvania is shedding some light on just how much of an own-goal that was. Before getting there, though, the topline is really good news for Donald Trump, showing him tied in the head-to-head and leading in the five-way matchup (which is more relevant). It appears Harris’ momentum has been completely halted, with no perceivable bounce from the DNC.
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📊 PENNSYLVANIA poll by Wick Insights for @2waytvapp
🟦 Harris: 49%
🟥 Trump: 49%
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Full Ballot
🟥 Trump: 48%
🟦 Harris: 47%
🟪 Oliver: 1%
🟩 Stein: 1%
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Senate
🟦 Casey (inc): 48%
🟥 McCormick: 46%
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#197 (1.4/3.0) | 1,607 LV | 8/27-29 pic.twitter.com/qtkJpdai1g— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 30, 2024
Bob Casey, the Democrat senator up for re-election in Pennsylvania, only being up two points is also a huge result for Republicans. Dave McCormick has always had a far more uphill battle than Mehmet Oz had in 2022 to win a seat there because beating incumbent senators is extremely difficult historically. Jon Tester and Joe Manchin making it this far is a testament to that. McCormick is still a big underdog, but if he pulls that race out, it could add some much-needed padding to what already projects to be GOP control of the Senate.
With that said, the big eye-brow-raising part of this poll is actually a hypothetical matchup. When Harris is teamed up with Josh Shapiro, the popular Democrat governor of Pennsylvania, she goes from losing to Trump to blowing him out. Had she chosen Shapiro, she’d be up by a whopping six points, leading 51 to 45.
Given how important winning Pennsylvania is to winning the election overall, that decision could cost her the White House. So why did she choose a Betamax, valor-stealing doofus from Minnesota over Shapiro? We all know why. There was no logical reason for Harris to go with Walz, a baggage-laden radical from a non-swing state. It’s clear she only did so to appease the Hamas simps in her party. Shapiro is Jewish, and no matter how much of a boon he would have been to a campaign, she simply couldn’t put a Jewish man on the ticket lest the lunatics in Dearborn revolt.
Republicans couldn’t be happier with that decision. Despite Harris seeing a surge after that (which has now stalled and begun to reverse), the moment she picked Walz was the moment she ensured this race would remain a toss-up for her at best. Does America really want someone with that level of decision-making prowess as President of the United States?