Even though the New York Giants are coming off a big road win in Cleveland, and even though the Dallas Cowboys have dropped two games in a row and are giving up nearly 30 points per game, the latter still find themselves as a road favorite (by nearly a touchdown) for tonight’s game at MetLife Stadium.
The two big things to watch going into the game are going to be the emergence of Giants rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers, as well as the state of the Cowboys defense after a second straight disappointing — and downright concerning — showing.
When it comes to Nabers, he already looks like a rising superstar in the NFL and is coming off a monster Week 3 performance that saw him score two touchdowns. Entering Week 4, he is already fifth in the NFL with 271 receiving yards and looks borderline unstoppable, even with a mid-level quarterback in Daniel Jones throwing to him.
He is going to be a massive test for a Cowboys defense that has allowed over 430 yards in each of the past two games.
Despite those concerns, the Cowboys still should have the overall talent edge on paper and they have done extremely well as road favorites under head coach Mike McCarthy. Since McCarthy took over, the Cowboys are 13-5 against the spread as road favorites, the second-best mark in the league during that stretch.
The Giants are only 14-12-1 against the spread as home underdogs during that same time period, but they are 8-4-1 since 2022 under head coach Brian Daboll.
Given how poorly the Cowboys defense has played so far, as well as the fact they have one of the league’s best offenses through three weeks, the over should absolutely be in play here. The over has hit in each of the Cowboys’ first three games this season.
