Things are not going well for Kamala Harris right now.
She’s not connecting with the American public. The idea of just trashing her opponent as Hitler and his supporters as fascists/Nazis is also crashing and burning. It’s not giving Americans any reason to vote for her, plus it’s showing how petty and unfit she is when her campaign resorts to such tactics.
Plus she doesn’t explain how she’s going to change the bad things that she was an integral part of while she’s been occupying office, such as higher prices and a broken border. People are looking at her and saying, “But why haven’t you fixed these problems while you’ve been there?” when she tries to pitch herself as a “new way forward.”
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Final Polls Give an Edge to Trump but They Are Only Polls
Most Americans believe that Biden and Harris have us on the wrong track, and that’s one of the big things that’s likely to do her in, as CNN’s Harry Enten explained while he laid out the three big signs that were pointing to Trump prevailing:
If Trump wins, the signs were there all along.
No incumbent party has won another term with so few voters saying the country is on the right track (28%) or when the president’s net approval rating is so low (Biden’s at -15 pts).
Also, big GOP registration gains in key states. pic.twitter.com/knDQ2HOFtJ
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 30, 2024
He noted just 28 percent of American voters think that the country was on the right track. He explained that when 25 percent of people think that, the incumbent party alway has lost, he said. In order to win it has to be closer to 42 percent. As Enten noted, 28 percent “looks a lot more like 25.” than it looks like 42. “Bottom line is very few Americans think the country is on the right track at this particular point,” the analyst said.
Then there’s the question of approval of the incumbent Biden, who has negative approval, at 15 points underwater. Morning co-anchor John Berman asked, “What kind of a weight is [he] on the Harris campaign?” A big one, Enten answered. Again, the analyst notes how when that has happened in the past, going back in recent history, the people following — in this case Harris — has lost. Harris would have to defy history, Enten concluded.
Then finally, there was the GOP voter registration gains. Big hat tip to Scot Presler for that, and greater concentration on registrations. Enten walked through how there have been big, Republican registration gains in Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. Berman gave an eye roll look to the audience at 2:49, and Enten said, “You can’t say you haven’t been warned,” that all the signs will have been there.
The RealClear Politics polling has Trump up 1 point in battleground states, ahead in all of them except Michigan, which he’s only behind 0.5. The RCP now has the national vote up 0.4. So, those are also signs that, given recent history, also give an edge to Trump.
