We’re coming near to the finish line for the 2024 elections, with Election Day on Nov. 5, and of course early voting taking place in many states already.
As I wrote recently, GOP Senate nominee Kari Lake and Rep. Ruben Gallego (D) were polling neck-and-neck, with the added assurance of former President Donald Trump keeping a lead against Vice President Kamala Harris in polling in the Copper state.
Read related: AZ Senate Opponent Gallego Tries to Weaponize Court Unsealing His Divorce Papers vs. Kari Lake
WATCH: Kari Lake Just Released a Devastating New Ad Tying Lib Senate Opponent’s Voting Record to Harris
This week brings more positive news for the Lake camp, as a pair of polls show the former Phoenix news anchor leading her far-left liberal opponent. On Tuesday, Data Orbital released a poll showing the Republican at 45.2 percent and the Democrat at 44.5 percent. (The poll was taken of 550 likely voters, between Oct. 26-28, with a margin of error of +/- 4.26.)
The Lake campaign shared a statement after the poll came out, which read:
“The momentum is with President Trump and Kari Lake, and with record Republican early voting numbers, we are confident that Arizonans will deliver both Trump and Lake a victory one week from today on November 5th.”
Then Thursday, AtlasIntel released a swath of Senate polls for swing-states, including for the Arizona contest. Of note: Lake is the only GOP candidate leading his or her Dem opponent in the pollster’s data:
New Senate polls just dropped from AtlasIntel who was the most accurate pollster in 2020.
Kari Lake is the only Republican leading in the polls, and keep in mind, this is after Mitch McConnell spent $400 million on these races — $0 of which was spent in Arizona. pic.twitter.com/k435PjMgI2
— Caroline Wren (@CarolineWren) October 31, 2024
By how much? Like in the first poll, from these numbers, it appears she’s ahead of Gallego by just about 1 point (0.7). And with the potential of grabbing on to Trump’s coattails, that might just be enough to put Lake over the top on Election Day. We’ll see.
As my colleague Nick Arama wrote earlier, AtlasIntel also reported new numbers for the presidential race among battleground states; Trump continues to lead Harris by 3 points in Arizona. The pollster wrote:
Trump’s advantage over his opponent is most significant in states such as AZ, NV and NC.
Read more: Shock Poll in PA and More Intriguing News on Toss-Up States
Lake celebrated the upswing in polling a Thursday X post for supporters:
The Most Accurate 2020 AZ pollster & the Most Accurate 2020 national pollster have our race in a dead heat.
They’ve thrown everything at us, & we’ve NEVER been stronger.
There’s something special happening here in Arizona.
Let’s Show The World.
VOTE.https://t.co/QrpcoHL7CK
— Kari Lake (@KariLake) October 31, 2024
p
