I think at this point the Kamala Harris campaign team has to be losing their minds. Former President Donald Trump is leading in every one of the battleground states, although it’s still tight in most of them according to RealClearPolitics. He’s even leading now in the national popular vote, a feat that virtually no one predicted.
Trump has had some masterful campaign strokes that have blown up the Democratic narrative against him, showing not only isn’t he the guy they’ve been painting him as for years, but he has far better ideas than Kamala Harris. He turned working at McDonald’s into a legendary event. He blew the doors off in his interview with Joe Rogan, which has gotten more than 33 million views. He’s captivated a new generation of supporters with his podcast appearances. Then he went to deep blue New York City, and a couple of thousand people camped out overnight, then tens of thousands came out to a rocking rally, with many watching on the streets not able to get in.
Meanwhile Kamala and Tim are yelling Hitler and playing bait and switch using Beyoncé to try to get an audience — then she doesn’t even sing in Houston.
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It’s not hard to see why all the momentum seems to be with Trump at this point.
Now, there are even questions about states that should be safe. We’ve already spoken about Virginia. But there’s more.
There’s a new poll out of New Hampshire from the New Hampshire Journal that now has Trump up by 0.4 in that state.
From the @NewHampJournal/ Praecones Analytica poll today:
POTUS
Trump 50.2%
Harris 49.8%#NHGOV
Ayotte 52%
Craig 48%Generic ballot CONGRESS@NHGOP 52%@NHDems 48%
Generic ballot NH STATE HOUSE
Dems 51%
GOP 49%https://t.co/HA2n1bsrlC— NH Journal (@NewHampJournal) October 28, 2024
That also has the generic congressional ballot looking good as well. There’s been rumblings about New Hampshire for a little while now and this poll seems to support those reports.
Now I’ll put all my usual cautions about polls, and also note this a small poll. But the fact that we’re even talking about this possibility is bad for Harris.
Entrepreneur, activist, and Libertarian Jeremy Kauffman weighs in on what he thinks the best choice is.
I’ve been a member of the Libertarian Party since 2004.
I’ve repeatedly voted Libertarian for President.
I moved to New Hampshire to dedicate my life to achieving a libertarian polity.
Libertarians should vote for Donald Trump this year. https://t.co/DdFXUwbfwl
— Jeremy Kauffman 🦔🌲🌕 (@jeremykauffman) October 26, 2024
That’s not all. Let’s talk about some polling in New Mexico.
According to polling from KAConsulting, Harris is up just three points in New Mexico — a state Biden won by 10 points in 2020 — with an additional three percent of the population saying they remain undecided.
Internal polls conducted by the Trump camp, meanwhile, show a race that is nearly neck-and-neck, thanks in part to RFK Jr.’s support, sources said.
That KAConsulting poll is within the four-point margin of error.
Kennedy had been polling at about eight percent in New Mexico and his support for Trump is part of the reason for the move.
It’s not just smoke if they’re taking time and money to go there. Mark Halperin spoke about the internal polling and predicted last week that Trump would be going there.
THERE IT IS, as @MarkHalperin forecast, Donald Trump will hold a rally in Albuquerque on Thursday. Recent polling has shown Trump within the margin of error vs Kamala Harris in New Mexico — long considered a reliably blue state. “Put a pin in this: Donald Trump will do a rally… pic.twitter.com/nmC5cLKSiD
— 2WAY (@2waytvapp) October 27, 2024
“You may think that’s silly and it’s certainly silly, so you can’t think about New Mexico in the sense that if Trump wins New Mexico, he’s going to win in a landslide,” Halperin said, speaking about the poll out within the margin of error. “Put a pin in this. Donald Trump will do a rally in Albuquerque before Election Day.”
And now Trump plans to be there on Halloween.
THERE IT IS: As I forecasted first last Monday, @realDonaldTrump is going to campaign in New Mexico. Private R polling suggests it’s close. We shall see.
Here from @2waytvapp six days ago:https://t.co/sfdid3QfIW
— Mark Halperin (@MarkHalperin) October 27, 2024
We’ll see shortly, but yes, if New Mexico goes we probably are talking about a landslide.
But again, assume nothing — get everyone out and make it happen.
