For weeks now, the mainstream media has been working overtime to promote the theory that all the momentum in the presidential race is in Democrat presidential nominee Kamala Harris’ corner, perhaps thinking that their cheerleading and Baghdad Bob-esque coverage have done the trick.
But the devil, as has often been said, is in the details, and what they show is that when it comes right down to it, Harris has not been able to seal the deal in many of the battleground states she’s spent the most time in since becoming the nominee.
As my RedState colleague Nick Arama reported on Tuesday, “There may be a big shift underway. Over the last couple of days, there has been some real movement in some of the polls back to former President Donald Trump.”
“The reality of Kamala Harris’s emptiness seems to be setting in, and it looks like her avoidance of questions may now be backfiring on her,” Nick also observed.
READ MORE: Quinnipiac Poll Results Come in and Deliver Devastating News for Kamala Harris
Lending credence to that is fresh polling from Susquehanna Polling and Research, which now shows Harris and GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump neck and neck in the crucial state of Pennsylvania.
What is especially significant about this poll, as they noted, is that Harris was ahead by four in July – but she’s not anymore:
BREAKING. SP&R, in conjunction w/ @La_Torre_Live, today releases its latest Pa poll testing the race for President. We now show a statistical tie – 46% to 46%. Last poll in late July showed Harris +4 (47:43).
Field dates 9/16-9/22
Sample size 700 LV
MoE of +/-3.7% pic.twitter.com/CKPbXB2JFv— SP&R (@SusquehannaPR) September 25, 2024
In another big blow to the Harris-Walz campaign, Trump has made “significant” inroads on economy/inflation matters, so much so that the polling outfit characterized the former president as having “effectively closed the sale” with the Pennsylvania voters who feel those issues are the most important:
In SP&R’s latest Pa poll, Trump is leading w/ “inflation/economy” voters 57:34, a significant improvement from a 50:38 margin in late July. Inflation is rated the top influencing issue by 45% from a list of eight. Trump has effectively “closed the sale” w/ economy voters.
— SP&R (@SusquehannaPR) September 25, 2024
This has got to be devastating to Harris, Walz, and their handlers, who have made many trips to Pennsylvania over the last two months, visiting gas stations, partisan spice shops, and union halls. The presidential debate, too, was held in PA. Relatedly, as I write this she’s in Pittsburgh giving what has been touted as a “major speech on the economy,” and you can best believe she’s doing this to try and reverse Trump’s gains.
Will it work? As is often the case with these things, it is likely going to all come down to what independent voters decide. As it stands now, both Harris and Trump are in a virtual tie with that core voting bloc:
In SP&R’s latest Pa poll, Trump leads w/ Republicans 91:3 while Harris leads w/ Democrats 88:4. Independent voters are split 44:43 and as they go, so goes Pennsylvania! According to exit polls, Trump lost Ind’s (to Biden) 52:44 in ’20.
— SP&R (@SusquehannaPR) September 25, 2024
For the most recent data on Pennsylvania polling shifts over the last few weeks, click here. And keep it tuned to RedState as we follow and document all the latest developments.
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