College football Week 4 model projections: Predicted scores for every FBS vs. FBS game


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There’s no shortage of big games in college football this week. Ohio State goes to Notre Dame, Florida State goes to Clemson and three Pac-12 games are pitting undefeated teams against each other.

Will Deion Sanders’ Colorado make a statement or be exposed? Will Notre Dame get a rare win against a top-10 team? Which contenders will get upset? We’ll know a lot more about a lot more teams a week from now.

Let’s see what my model makes of all of Week 4’s big games. My model has point differentials and point totals for every FBS vs. FBS game. The model takes in past performance, returning talent and recruiting rankings. We then compare the model’s projections to the BetMGM lines for extra context.

For more on Week 4 of the college football season, check out my best bets, which are based off my model’s projections.

Read more: College football Week 4 odds and picks against the spread

Full Week 4 model projections

XMOV is the model’s projected margin of victory for the game with the BetMGM spread as of publish time listed to the right of it. XTOTAL is the projected combined point total with the BetMGM total (over/under) listed as of publish time to the right of that number.

(Photo of Bo Nix: Ali Gradischer / Getty Images)

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Alexandra Williams
Alexandra Williams
Alexandra Williams is a writer and editor. Angeles. She writes about politics, art, and culture for LinkDaddy News.

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